Oct 24, 2022
Oct 23, 2022
Oct 11, 2022
Anybody interested in Alcobaça, our new hometown?
Oct 9, 2022
Why Vladimir Putin would be a fool to go nuclear in Ukraine
By Lewis Page
(This article was recommended by Victor Toth, the top physicist on the top Q&A internet engine. It appeared first here. Michael believes it's worth the reading effort)Back during the Cold War there was always a question facing the nations of Nato, as they confronted enormous Soviet tank armies in Europe.
In the event of a conventional war going badly, at what point do we go nuclear?
The answer might have been: not until Soviet troops entered France. This kind of problem is why nukes didn't make conventional forces obsolete.
Today it is Vladimir Putin who has a conventional war which is going badly. He still holds large areas of Ukrainian territory, but his troops are falling back.
Putin may be able to mobilise at least some of the huge reserves of manpower which are theoretically available with a full Russian call-up, though this appears to be going extremely badly so far.
Even if a useful mobilisation can be conducted without overwhelming domestic opposition, Russia will struggle to equip its unwilling cannon-fodder and supply them for a long-term war.
The new conscripts will be facing determined Ukrainians who are fighting to save their people from murder, rape, torture and mass disappearance into the gulags. Ukrainian troops have already stopped Russia’s best, the “kontraktniki” professional soldiers who began the invasion, literally dead in their tracks.
Even Russians should be able to see that seizing territory and then going nuclear if it’s taken back is not something the rest of the world can possibly accept.
Worse still, as long as some Western nations remain resolute, the Ukrainians will be well armed and supplied from effectively inexhaustible resources of money and material.
The West in general does not maintain huge stockpiles of munitions and there may well be hiccups in the supply chains. Nonetheless the US in particular has shown during recent wars – for instance in Syria when shortages of surgical smart weapons occurred – that it can crank up new production very quickly when it wants to.
So Putin is under pressure. But he is not in the situation that Nato might have been in a hot 1980s war, reeling back towards France. Putin is not back from his start line, but still well forward of it.
Even Russians should be able to see that seizing territory and then going nuclear if it’s taken back is not something the rest of the world can possibly accept. And bogus gunpoint referendums clearly don't make Ukrainians into Russians.
Russians know this too, as they didn't get a vote on whether they would like to be Russian, or on anything else.
Oct 1, 2022
What is this --- Carla, Arfai, MOMA, Robots, TESLA, Dolly
This looks like a famous exhibition piece in the garden of a museum, doesn't it? The Getty Museum in LA, for example, or the MET cloisters in New York City, or the MOMA.
MOMA? Yes, the Museum of Modern Art, also located in New York City.
Hold on, the MOMA doesn't have a garden. But our house here in Alcobaça, PT has one:
Aug 21, 2022
CO2, or F--- PC
Jul 31, 2022
The Miracle of Clean Energy -- No Miracle Needed
A Stanford U. research group has calculated how clean, renewable energy could replace dirty energy worldwide (links below). The gist:
- The study covers 145 countries, which emit 99.7% of world's carbon dioxide.
- Overall upfront cost to replace all dirty energy in the countries considered is about $62 trillion.
- Due to $11 trillion annual energy cost-savings, the scheme pays back for itself in under 6 years.
- the plan may also create 28 million more long-term, full-time jobs.
Some details:
- No miracle technologies needed.
- All energy sectors are electrified by means of renewable sources (solar, wind, hydrology) -- creating heat, cold, and hydrogen from such electricity -- storing electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen -- expanding energy transmission.
- Biggest reason for the cost reduction: clean, renewable energy uses much less energy than combustion-based energy.
- Worldwide energy usage goes down by 56% with an all-electric system powered by clean, renewable sources (reasons: efficiency of electric vehicles over combustion vehicles -- efficiency of electric heat pumps -- efficiency of electrified industry -- eliminating energy needed to obtain fossil fuels).
Here are the links:
- article published by the study's leader, Prof. Mark Z. Jacobson in The Hill (an influential Washington DC outlet)
Jun 29, 2022
Introducing...the tie color test...(Jan 6, 2021)
This is a picture from the Congress hearing with Cassidy Hutchinson yesterday, the former White House aid:
Judging by the ties of the people around the witness, we'd say that Trump is losing the tie color test.
Jun 7, 2022
Craftsmen in the house
You haven't heard from us in a while--for various reasons, obviously, such as slosh, long covid, more slosh induced by long covid, plus the painters that arrived to redo the house who forced us into temporary retirement in Switzerland. But they finally left (the painters), so we could return to Alcobaça and put the house back in order. And here we are with a new view of the entrance hall:
Note the difference? You don't? This is how our entrance looked before:
And the difference? Well, the colors, but also the metallic print on the wall. Here it is enlarged:
"Tata, the Beatles also survived," it says, and it's a quote from our second GREEN-EYES book, where John's neighbor Joe instigates John's friends to face/ignore the exalted crowd outside and exit the building urgently (the Beatles, remember, the first boy band, facing exalted crows all the time during the exalted part of their career).
Here's a brief fragment of the episode:
The bell rings again. I walk to the buzzer, and there’s commotion on the parking lot below, thrilled voices on the intercom asking for Ben. And now it arrives from the other side, a mid-level pitch of cheers and shouts traveling around the condo and through the windows on the canal side. Ben, holding on to a window catch, peers nervously at the sound waves.
There’s a knock on the main door. I peek through the peephole, but it’s not a groupie (if there was one there would be all), it’s a middle-aged man with no trace of fandom on his face—-my neighbor Joe. He looks upset even though he lives in the duplex penthouse above and owns the latest model of my jalopy. I open the door.
“This is you, right?” he says with an abstracted gesture while staring past me at the girl on the couch. “What is this?”
“That’s Juliette,” I answer. “She’s just back from visiting her sister at the hospital. The festival, you know, yesterday. The doomsday, the storm. Professor Bienpensant.”
He shakes his head. “Not her. The hullabaloo below.”
“It’s not us,” I say.
“It’s hem,” he replies, and points a finger at the nervous Ben near the window.
“Ben is a friend,” I say, “he’s staying with me because he was working for the festival.”
“Working, ha! It was on TV, this woman with her name like ice cream.”
“What can we do? It’s not our fault.”
“Look,” he says, “I ain’t no nigga-haitin’ redneck, and your Ben, with his third leg, that’s what it is all about, ain’t it—-I’m from the South too, from Louisiana, I’ve seen guys like him in the locker room. You must get him out of here. This is a quiet, unspoiled neighborhood. We want to keep it that way. Now!”
The doorbell shrills—-amped-up electrons working their way into everybody’s nerves.
“How do we get him out of here?” I ask.
The shrilling has ceased, and the jeers below segue into a sing-song: “Happy Birthday to you...”
“They’ll storm the building before you know it,” Joe says. “This structure is way less solid than it looks. Five floors of pure timber. If these hoi polloi get up here to your floor, God help us.” Meanwhile, the singsong has disintegrated into high-pitched shouts, “Ben, Ben, Ben.”
“We can’t leave, they’ll tear us to pieces,” I say.
“Tut-tut,” Joe shakes his head. “The Beatles also survived.”
Stay tuned...
Mar 5, 2022
Jan 13, 2022
The last taboo
Nobody is talking about this, for there's a touching touch of political incorrectness. Ahem...did you observe that the waiting list of successors to the scandal-plagued British prime minister Boris Johnson is rife with very foreign names (?):
Rishi Sunak
Priti Patel
Sajid Javid
Kwasi Kwarteng
Nadhim Zahawi
Jan 2, 2022
Dec 25, 2021
In the bleak midwinter -- Jacob Collier (and Andrew McGregor)
Dec 24, 2021
Christmas eve...
This afternoon |
We were on our habitual afternoon walk which gets us downtown and back in an hour.
Note the December flowers on the right. The white Lego House atop the hill got recently repainted; before it looked like Dr. No's residence. There's a dog kept in a cage next to the house (extreme left of the picture), and he barks less since the paint job was done.
Dec 9, 2021
From the trenches -- Wole Soyinka
Yes, we are still bedridden -- did we fail to mention that Michael and his partner Chang caught Covid (?) -- so we are cutting our way through the verbal jungle of a book by Wole Soyinka, titled "Chronicles from the Land of the Happiest People on Earth" about Soyinka's home country, Nigeria -- Soyinka, world's first black Nobel Award of Literature -- Soyinka (who's compared in rave reviews to Vladimir Nabokov's).
And so, while we are still wielding our verbal machete in Soyinka's verbal jungle (well-written, somehow, but much too redundant, and confusing, and repetitive...), we swear this holy pledge: in the future, we'll only read books by the man himself: Vladimir Nabokov.
Yesterday -- wave alert
Dec 3, 2021
Nov 24, 2021
Nov 7, 2021
Alcobaça yesterday
The market. We bought eggs, flowers, and parsley. |
The Alcoa again, on the way back. |
The monastery (which is huge) (as you possibly know). This corner is being transformed into a FIVE STARS, (or BOUTIQUE) hotel. Come and visit. |